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Big third wave unlikely in India: Health experts

Credit ‘hybrid’ immunity, vaccination for low case numbers; epidemiologists had predicted a third wave in October and November because of large gatherings during Navratri and Diwali

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Health workers during a door-to-door vaccination drive in Chennai. File/AFP

Health workers during a door-to-door vaccination drive in Chennai. File/AFP

Is the worst of the Covid crisis behind India? As cases dip three weeks after Diwali, the answer is a possible yes, say several health experts, attributing the downslide to a large section of the population already exposed to the virus during the deadly second wave and a stepped-up vaccination campaign by the government. Though there are always imponderables, including the possibility of a new, transmissible variant and the onset of winter in large parts of the country, a third wave as devastating as the second one is unlikely, they said while advising caution and vigilance.

A cyclist rides past a mural depicting COVID testing in New Delhi. Pic/AFP
A cyclist rides past a mural depicting Covid testing in New Delhi. Pic/AFP

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